Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000810 0.000868 0.000929 0.000999 0.001075 0.001157 0.001253
2025-12-28 0.000691 0.000765 0.000846 0.000943 0.001056 0.001184 0.001342
2026-01-04 0.000619 0.000701 0.000794 0.000909 0.001047 0.001211 0.001422
2026-01-11 0.000576 0.000664 0.000766 0.000896 0.001059 0.001258 0.001525
2026-01-18 0.000544 0.000637 0.000748 0.000892 0.001077 0.001310 0.001636
2026-01-25 0.000587 0.000703 0.000845 0.001036 0.001293 0.001633 0.002135
2026-02-01 0.000546 0.000661 0.000804 0.000999 0.001267 0.001630 0.002183
2026-02-08 0.000514 0.000628 0.000772 0.000972 0.001251 0.001640 0.002248
2026-02-15 0.000492 0.000606 0.000753 0.000960 0.001255 0.001676 0.002353
2026-02-22 0.000467 0.000580 0.000726 0.000937 0.001241 0.001683 0.002413
2026-03-01 0.000440 0.000550 0.000694 0.000903 0.001209 0.001662 0.002426
2026-03-08 0.000423 0.000533 0.000678 0.000891 0.001208 0.001685 0.002512
2026-03-15 0.000402 0.000510 0.000655 0.000872 0.001200 0.001707 0.002612
2026-03-22 0.000372 0.000476 0.000615 0.000826 0.001150 0.001657 0.002585
2026-03-29 0.000351 0.000451 0.000588 0.000797 0.001123 0.001644 0.002621
2026-04-05 0.000337 0.000437 0.000574 0.000787 0.001124 0.001676 0.002744
2026-04-12 0.000326 0.000426 0.000565 0.000783 0.001135 0.001726 0.002905
2026-04-19 0.000351 0.000467 0.000633 0.000903 0.001361 0.002175 0.003953
2026-04-26 0.000334 0.000445 0.000607 0.000872 0.001326 0.002148 0.003983
2026-05-03 0.000319 0.000428 0.000587 0.000850 0.001306 0.002144 0.004065
2026-05-10 0.000309 0.000417 0.000575 0.000840 0.001306 0.002180 0.004248
2026-05-17 0.000297 0.000402 0.000558 0.000820 0.001288 0.002178 0.004337
2026-05-24 0.000283 0.000385 0.000536 0.000792 0.001252 0.002139 0.004326